Bread and Peace: How presidential elections really get decided
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Bread and peace: how presidential elections really get decided. Douglas Hibbs’s ‘Bread and Peace index’ only looks at per capita real personal disposable income (RPDI) growth and military fatalities. It’s fairly accurate, as you can see below. Based on Barry’s record as of 3Q 2011, the index predicts NObama in 2013 (44.1% of the vote.)

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Bread and Peace: How presidential elections really get decided